Showing posts with label india. Show all posts
Showing posts with label india. Show all posts

Monday, August 8, 2011

The Saudis Use Oil to Punish the Iranians - BusinessWeek

RIYADH, SAUDI ARABIA - APRIL 06:  U.S. Ambassa...Image by Getty Images via @daylifeThe Arab (Saudi)-Iranian rivalry is centuries old. rom fighting wars in the ancient times to the last battle fought between Arab Iraqis and Iranians, the Arab-Iranian relationship has been a struggling one to say the least.

The latest episode of this age old rivalry involves trade where Saudis are trying to hurt Iranian oil exports to India! More on this from Bloomberg below:

The Saudis Use Oil to Punish the Iranians - BusinessWeek
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Friday, April 29, 2011

Amartya Sen questions the obsession with economic growth rates

Amartya Kumar Sen is an Indian philosopher, ec...Image via Wikipedia
"The steadily rising rate of economic growth in India has recently been around 8 percent per year (it is expected to be 9 percent this year), and there is much speculation about whether and when India may catch up with and surpass China’s over 10 percent growth rate. Despite the evident excitement that this subject seems to cause in India and abroad, it is surely rather silly to be obsessed about India’s overtaking China in the rate of growth of GNP, while not comparing India with China in other respects, like education, basic health, or life expectancy. Economic growth can, of course, be enormously helpful in advancing living standards and in battling poverty. But there is little cause for taking the growth of GNP to be an end in itself, rather than seeing it as an important means for achieving things we value."

Quality of Life: India vs. China by Amartya Sen | The New York Review of Books
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Monday, April 4, 2011

ADB Backs Rail Project for Banglore

Map of Bangalore MetroImage via WikipediaInternational Development - ADB Backs Rail Project in Indian City


The Asian Development Bank has approved a $250 million loan for the construction of a metro railway system in Bangalore, one of India’s fastest-growing cities.

The loan will go toward the Bangalore Metro Rail Transit System Project. It will partly finance 42.3 kilometers of rail track, rolling stock, stations, and equipment for two key routes in the city.

The overall metro rail project is the first of its kind in South Asia to be funded by ADB. It is expected to reduce road congestion and pollution and provide the city with a safer, faster and more fuel-saving transportation system.
Read more development aid news.
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Thursday, March 31, 2011

Female infanticide continues in the 1.2-billion strong India

According to the latest census, the Indian population is 1.2-billion strong and is set to take over China as the world’s most populous country by 2030. Since 2001, India’s population has grown by 181 million, which is approximately the same population as that of Pakistan.

Despite the growth in population, the preference for a male child, and the resulting female infanticide, in India has resulted in a demographic imbalance in the Indian society where 914 girls were born for every 1000 boys. This ratio has continued to deteriorate over the years (see the graph) suggesting that significant increase in literacy and media awareness has not been able to reverse the tide of female infanticide.

More from BBC: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-south-asia-12916888

Monday, March 21, 2011

20,000 Kashmiris detained without trial in India

Amnesty International has reported that over 20,000 Kashmiris have been detained in the Indian controlled Kashmir without trial.

This is a major source of embarrassment for the world's largest democracy. India has no option but to address the genuine grievances of Kashmiris (Muslims and Pandits alike). So should Pakistan where the Kashmiris have been used as a pawn by various civil and military powerbrokers.

While Pakistan has no claim on being a democracy, given its struggles against military and civil dictatorships, India does claim to be the world's largest democracy. Incarcerating 20,000 without trial hurts India's standing among other democracies.

Kashmiris living in India and Pakistan have earned their right of self-determination after being suspended in a state of political vacuum since 1947. It is in India's and Pakistan's interest to resolve the issue of Kashmir by letting Kashmiris decide upon their own future. There is simply no other viable solution.

Kashmiris detained without trial in IndiaBBC News - Amnesty International criticises 'tough' Kashmir law

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Tuesday, August 24, 2010

Fertility, longevity, mortality, prosperity, and Islam

Fewer babies per family means healthy babies, healthy mothers, longer lives and prosperity for all. If it sounds like a commercial for family planning, remember buchay do hi acchay (two kids are enough), than you’ve guessed it right. There is enough global evidence from the past four decades to advocate lowering fertility rates in low-income countries. 

Using data from the World Bank and animation technology provided by Google, I illustrate below that life expectancy at birth increases with the decline in fertility rates. Also, as the fertility rates drop, the health of the society improves as is evidenced by a decline in infant mortality rates. Furthermore, societies become more prosperous with the drop in fertility rates.

Let’s look at the animated graph below that demonstrates the evolution of four human development indicators from 1960 to 2008:

  1. Fertility rate (total births per woman) plotted on the vertical axis,
  2. life expectancy at birth in years, plotted on the horizontal axis,
  3. infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births), demonstrated by the colour of circles representing countries,
  4. and finally, gross national income per capita at purchasing power parity in current international dollars represented by the size of the circles.

Click on the play button located immediately below the graph to its left to view development indicators evolve from 1960 to 2008. I have, for comparison, highlighted Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India, Iran, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia on the graph so that you can visually track their performance over time.

You can also pause the animation at any time, and can use the horizontal bar under the graph to move to a particular year to see the indicator values.  You can also point and click on the graph to determine values for each individual country at any point in time.

The animation reveals a dramatic decline in fertility rates starting in mid eighties for most countries, including Pakistan, Bangladesh, Iran and Saudi Arabia. Iran, in fact experienced the fastest decline in fertility rates of the highlighted countries and ended with 1.8 births per woman in 2008. Bangladesh and India are also not far behind followed by Saudi Arabia.

So why is the fertility rate still very high in Pakistan? And can the sluggish socio-economic growth in Pakistan be explained by the abovementioned dependencies between high fertility and mortality rates, lower longevity, and less prosperity? At approximately four births per woman in 2008, the fertility rate in Pakistan is very high and is comparable to the one observed in very impoverished African states. As mentioned earlier, the fertility rates in Saudi Arabia and Iran, the two primary religious influences on Pakistan’s Sunni and Shiite schools of thought, have declined sharper than that of Pakistan.

A key obstacle to lowering fertility rate in Pakistan is the religious establishment, which has opposed any such move by the state. Convinced that the Creator has guaranteed sustenance of every living organism, which I wholeheartedly believe as well,  the semi-literate mullahs preach against the use of contraceptives and consider birth control sacrilegious since such practices in mullahs’ interpretation of the faith may question the Creator’s ability to provide for its creations.

But the Creator has also blessed human beings with intellect and wisdom that encourage one to live within one’s means. And how would one explain the much steeper decline in fertility rates in Bangladesh, which until 1973 was part of Pakistan. The fertility rate in 1974 in Bangladesh was 6.83 births per woman against 6.96 in Pakistan. By 2008, fertility rate in Bangladesh declined to 2.34 births per woman, a staggering 41% lower than that of Pakistan.

While mullahs in Pakistan have thwarted any attempt by the State to lower fertility rates, Saudi Arabia and Iran have lowered their fertility rates at much faster rates in the past three decades than Pakistan.  The average number of births per woman in Saudi Arabia declined from over seven children per woman in 1982 to just over three in 2008. In Iran, the same rate drop from 6.6 births per woman in 1982 to 1.8 births in 2008.

The reason for this dramatic decline in fertility rates in Iran and Saudi Arabia is the improved access to contraceptives for females in their childbearing age. So why the mullahs in Pakistan are not learning from their mentors in Iran and Saudi Arabia?

It is not just that the lower fertility rates are correlated with longevity, which is evidenced by a simultaneous increase in life expectancy, but lower fertility is also correlated with lower infant mortality. Fewer births per woman result in healthier infants and mothers, thus increasing the chance of infants to survive beyond the age of one. Higher birth rates deteriorate women’s health, especially with poor food quality, and thus lead to higher infant mortality.

If you look at the bottom right corner of the graph, you’ll see big blue circles representing rich European countries with lowest fertility and infant mortality rates, and the highest life expectancy at birth.

However, if you look at the upper left corner of the graph, you’ll see mostly poor African countries with high infant mortality rates, very low life expectancy at birth, and yes, high fertility rates.

At the very top left corner is Afghanistan. With the highest fertility rate at almost seven births per woman, Afghanistan also has the dubious distinction of having one of the highest infant mortality rates at 165 deaths per 1,000 live births, and lowest life expectancy of 44 years at birth. Years of war in Afghanistan has left it as the most impoverished country in the world.

While Afghanistan may not be able to turn its fortunes in the short run, it can at least focus on lowering its fertility rate. The Afghan mullahs are of the same ilk as the one in Pakistan, who vehemently oppose any family planning. However, the mullahs in Afghanistan and Pakistan need to be educated, and not in the western traditions, but about the transformation taking place in Saudi Arabia and Iran.  If the Iranian and Saudi mullahs can consent to, or live with, family planning, then mullahs in Afghanistan and Pakistan should also acknowledge the evidence presented in the animated graph above, i.e., lower fertility rate means lower infant mortality, higher life expectancy, and yes greater prosperity.

Saturday, July 31, 2010

GDP growth in South Asia

World map showing GDP real growth rates for 20...
Image via Wikipedia
The World Bank statistics reveal that Pakistan has lagged behind India and Bangladesh in economic growth since early nineties, which is about the same time that India liberated its markets and embraced freer trade.
Nineties were the decade when India and Bangladesh picked up pace and started to strengthen their economic development based on the innovation and technical prowess of the graduates from their engineering and business schools. India picked up a faster pace of economic development in the early nineties and Bangladesh by mid nineties, leaving Pakistan trailing behind in economic growth. 
Pakistan, on the other hand, spent the nineties in a battle for power between the military, politicians, and the bureaucracy. It resulted in a lost decade. No real economic or social development transpired in Pakistan. Furthermore, by creating and unleashing the Taliban, Pakistan also sealed the fate for Afghanistan, which has suffered much more than Pakistan in the past 15 years.



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Saturday, July 24, 2010

Love parade meets Indian stampedes

A stampede at love parade, a summer festival in Duisburg, Germany, resulted in the death of 18 people caught in a tunnel. Over one million people were celebrating the festival.

Unlike Germany, where this is a first event of its kind in the recent past, such unfortunate accidents are common in India. In Utter Pardesh in India, 63 people died at a temple. Numerous other similar incidents of stampedes resulting from panic or collapsed bridges are common in the developing countries where very large gatherings are common.

Love Parade is one of the biggest gatherings in Europe. As the number of people at an event runs into millions, the odds for such accidents increase, regardless of the location of such events.

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