Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Feeding the hungry in Pakistan while fending off bombs

The World Food Program (WFP) has decided to stop its operations in Pakistan after a bomb in the tribal areas killed 45waiting in line for food disbursements at a distribution centre operated by WFP in Pakistan’s tribal areas. This is the second time WFP has been hit in Pakistan with deadly outcome.

There is no morals left in the war on terror. As the collateral damage from the American bombings sends more civilians to the morgue, their surviving clan members attack with vengeance against any one seen associating with a Western entity in Pakistan. UN, WFP, and the rest are no longer immune. This is indeed very sad for Pakistan.

Monday, December 27, 2010

IMF extends reform deadline for Pakistan to September 30, 2011

The federal government in Pakistan struggles to convince the rest in the coalition on the new sales tax. The result is a government fast loosing allies who are ganging up under the umbrella of no tax.

the IMF has rightfully extended the deadline to the end of September 2011. Even if the Peoples Party government fails the sales tax test, those who will replace them will have to swallow the same bitter on the first of October 2011.

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Press Release No. 10/515
December 27, 2010

The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) today approved—on a lapse-of-time basis1—a nine-month extension of Pakistan’s Stand-By Arrangement (SBA), to September 30, 2011.

The extension will provide time to the Pakistani authorities to complete the reform of the General Sales Tax, implement measures to correct the course of fiscal policy, and amend the legislative framework for the financial sector. The IMF staff is continuing its dialogue with the Pakistani authorities on the program’s fifth review.

A 23-month SBA in an amount equivalent to SDR 5.1685 billion (about US$7.61 billion) was originally approved on November 24, 2008 (see Press Release No. 08/303). On August 7, 2009 the SBA was augmented to SDR 7.2359 billion (about US$10.66 billion) and extended through December 30, 2010 (see Press Release No. 09/281). Following the completion of the fourth review in May 2010, disbursements under the arrangement reached SDR 4.936 billion.


1 The Executive Board takes decisions under its lapse of time procedure when it is agreed by the Board that a proposal can be considered without convening formal discussions.

Graeme Smith of the Globe and Mail stands out for his coveage of the floods in Pakistan

Graeme Smith of the Globe and Mail in Canada stands out in his coverage of the devastating floods in Pakistan that affected more than 15 million in July/August 2010. He has continued to file stories about the struggles of the flood victims who continue to strive for food, shelter, and medical aid in the remotest parts of Pakistan. He has been the world's eyes and years to one of the most devastating natural disasters.

Six months after Pakistan floods, seven million remain without shelter - The Globe and Mail
December 26, 2010
By Graeme Smith

Several hours north into the flood zone of the Swat Valley, past the ruined buildings that stand like crippled giants, past the doorways that lead nowhere, men heave rocks out of the riverbed and stack them in orderly rows.

It looks impossible for a small group of thin-limbed workers to undo so much destruction with their bare hands. The biggest disaster in Pakistan's history inflicted its deadliest wrath in these northern reaches, as summer monsoons ripped down the valleys, devouring land, people and entire villages. The brown torrent killed almost 2,000 people, but that number hardly begins to encompass the months of misery that followed, those who died of malnutrition or disease as they fled the rising water.

Now, as winter blows into the mountains, an estimated seven million people remain without proper shelter. Villagers scrabble in the earth, trying to build homes that will keep them warm among the snow drifts.

It's a Herculean task, made harder by a lack of funding: donors gave only half of the initial amount requested by the United Nations and another major appeal seems likely in the coming weeks.

"If the situation remains like this, many people will die in the cold," says Khan Bahadur, 55. He stands beside his ruined house, watching young men from his village heaving boulders to remake the terraced lands that were washed away. Mr. Bahadur was among the lucky ones who received a temporary shelter, one of 49,000 such one-room structures distributed so far, but its corrugated tin walls won't do much to fend off the chill as snows become waist-deep. The bad weather is also expected to block the road that links these northern villages to the rest of the country. Jeeps fill the narrow tracks along the valley, bumper to bumper, hauling bags of flour and other supplies in a desperate race against winter.

Nobody has a firm grip on the scale of the disaster, even six months after the floods hit. The latest bulletin from the United Nations' co-ordinating body, published Dec. 23, describes a "dynamic situation" in a flood zone the size of England, with some people still waiting for waters to recede and others going home to an uncertain future.

Thousands took shelter in schools and other public buildings in the aftermath of the disaster; they now form a second wave of dislocation as they are evicted from those premises. Respiratory infections are rising, as people find themselves sleeping outdoors in the cold.

"Falling temperatures continue to compound the suffering of hundreds of thousands of families whose homes have been destroyed or badly damaged," the bulletin says.

Emergency planners had assumed they would be shifting gears by now, moving from immediate relief work to the rebuilding phase. Some parts of Pakistan are turning that corner, as the central Punjab regions and northern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa are taking on early recovery projects. But the flood waters lingered longer than expected on the clay plains of the southern Sindh province and many farmers have missed a full season of wheat planting.

"There are still parts of Sindh, even today, where you see water everywhere," said Benoit de Gryse, head of mission in Pakistan the aid organization Médecins Sans Frontières.

Aid experts are scrambling to find replacement crops, but it seems likely that millions of people will continue relying on handouts until the fall harvest. Instead of declining, the number of food-aid recipients is projected to grow by 500,000 this month.

"We had assumed the emergency phase would be over in December, but there's no way," said Mengesha Kebede, the Pakistan head of UN's High Commission for Refugees in Islamabad. "It just doesn't seem to end."

The crisis has stopped getting much attention in the international media, however, and even local Pakistani journalists have largely shifted their attention to other issues. Donations dried up in recent months, with little increase in the $976-million contributed in the initial aftermath. That's almost exactly 50 per cent of the UN's estimate of emergency needs and it won't begin to cover the costs of rebuilding. Some guesses have put the price tag at $10-billion, but it could easily climb higher.

The last time such a major disaster hit Pakistan, donors pledged $6-billion within a month of the 2005 earthquake and the money covered the new homes and repairs for an estimated three million people.

Such generosity now seems unlikely. Pakistan's foreign partners say their coffers were drained by recovery work in Haiti as well as the aftermath of the global recession. And Pakistan's government cannot afford new housing for so many people; Islamabad was already crippled by debts before the floods. Flood victims themselves often owe huge sums to landlords or crop buyers who gave loans against the value of future harvests; the floods ruined farms, but did not wash away the debts.

With so few resources, aid workers are focusing on the worst-affected districts and trying to build modest shelters, often just bamboo huts.

Even so, without extra funding, the UN estimates that 800,000 families whose houses were completely destroyed - not just damaged - won't get even the basic shelter offered by early recovery programs.

Those estimates are still cautious guesses because many people remain in so-called "unregistered" camps - informal settlements not recognized by the government as official locations of flood victims. Some observers say the disaster could mark a permanent shift in the country's population, away from rural areas and into the sprawling slums around major cities. The largest such influx has already started to affect Karachi, the southern metropolis, whose poor neighbourhoods lit up with violence in recent months.

But the floods also brought out the best in Pakistan's society, as private donors stepped into the gap left by the shortfall in foreign funding. Aid workers say they've seen many acts of kindness by local businessmen and charities. Some of those groups make Pakistan's international partners uncomfortable, because of their links with militancy, but more often it's a case of ordinary people muddling through a disaster without help from the outside.

The sheer scale of their task looks daunting. In Bahrain, at the north end of the Swat Valley, the floodwaters had so much strength that they carried along entire trees and, according to local lore, pushed a boulder the size of a house two kilometres downstream. Villagers now point to the huge rock in the middle of the river as a monument to the water's power.

That same thunderous force reshaped the terraced lands in the valley.

In two hours, Mohammed Aquil, 72, lost his house and the patch of land where his ancestors had lived for generations. Nothing remained except a broad stretch of river bed, strewn with boulders. It didn't scare him away, however; he returned and his relatives heaped rocks from the river onto the bank, building themselves a new plot of land.

"We were ruined, we would have died if the NGOs didn't help us," he said, with a nod to an Oxfam worker standing nearby. "The village disappeared. The mosque disappeared. All our belongings disappeared.

But God has saved our children, and our lives, and we will build this place again."

Saturday, December 25, 2010

East and South continues to simmer in Afghanistan

The Wikileaks reveal the location of trouble spots in Afghanistan. Compiled from the app. 72,000 cables is the breakdown of violence by region in Afghanistan. It turns out that Afghanistan’s South and East continue to be violent places where the number of militants (enemy) and civilians either killed in action (KIA) or wounded in action  (WIA) are much larger than the rest. Again, these are the parts of Afghanistan inhabited by the Pushtuns, who constitute the overwhelming majority of the Taliban resistance in Afghanistan.

image

Searchable Wikileaks, 76911 cables

The following interactive map is searchable. Zoom and click on the red dot to see details about the  incident.

Using statistics to understand armed conflict

Drew Conway, a doctoral student in New York, uses statistical analysis to make sense of armed conflicts. Pasted below is his graphic that he developed from analyzing Wikileaks data about Afghanistan in July 2010. He used R software to generate the graphic.

Thursday, December 23, 2010

Finally the victims step out, albeit on cruches

The US bombings in Pakistan's tribal areas have killed several civilians. The number of militants killed in action is also not known with certainty. International humanitarian agencies are denied access by the nexus of American and Pakistani intelligent agencies.

The past few weeks though have seen a rapid shift in the status quo where at least two victims of American bombings have stepped forward and have filed suits against the CIA, forcing the CIA station head to leave Pakistan.

The rule of law has to prevail in Pakistan. This certainly includes the rights of all, including those who were simply bystanders in Pakistan's tribal areas and have been made victims by both the militants and the American/Pakistani war machine.

Pakistani drone victim seeks to put US on trial | Latest news, Breaking news, Pakistan News, World news, business, sport and multimedia | DAWN.COM

Tuesday, December 21, 2010

How American militarism endangers America

The more militarily America is involved globally, the more it loses in security and goodwill. Here is an interseting piece from Foreign Affairs that argues:

It is time to ask a fundamental question that few government officials or politicians in the United States seem willing to ask: Has it been a terrible error for the United States to have built an all-but-irreversible worldwide system of more than 1,000 military bases, stations, and outposts? This system was created to enhance U.S. national security, but what if it has actually done the opposite, provoking conflict and creating the very insecurity it was intended to prevent?

The most compelling arguments for opposing this system of global bases are political and practical. U.S. military bases have generated apprehension and hostility and fear of the United States, and they have facilitated futile, unnecessary, unprofitable, and self-defeating wars in Afghanistan and Iraq and now seem to be inviting enlarged U.S. interventions in Pakistan, Yemen, and the Horn of Africa. The 9/11 attacks, according to Osama bin Laden himself, were provoked by the "blasphemy" of the existence of U.S. military bases in the sacred territories of Saudi Arabia. The global base system, it seems, tends to produce and intensify the very insecurity that is cited to justify it.

The United States' present global military deployment does not seem to be the product of conscious design, nor was it assembled absent-mindedly. In part, it is the natural result of bureaucracy left unchecked. At the end of World War II, a precipitous dismantling of the U.S. wartime deployment was halted only by the outbreak of the Cold War. The United States' intervention in Vietnam brought some base expansion in Southeast Asia, but after its failure in Vietnam, the U.S. military was determined to have nothing further to do with insurgencies and quickly returned to reorganization and retraining for what it still considered its primary mission: classical warfare in Europe in the event of a Soviet invasion. This eventually led to the brilliant blitzkrieg against Iraq in the first Gulf War, fought under the Powell Doctrine of popular support, overwhelming force, focused objectives, and rapid withdrawal.

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by William Pfaff
WILLIAM PFAFF wrote a syndicated column that appeared in the International Herald Tribune from 1978 to 2006 and contributed political "Reflections" to the The New Yorker from 1971 to 1992. His latest book, The Irony of Manifest Destiny: The Tragedy of America's Foreign Policy, was published in June.

Monday, December 20, 2010

Israel and Pakistan: parallel destinies at opposing ends —Sikander Amani

If Pakistani nationhood is defined by Islam, how can non-Muslims be true Pakistanis; how can non-Jews be true Israelis if Judaism is considered the essence of Israeli citizenship? The status and rights granted to minorities is hence always a cornerstone, and a benchmark, of the democratic nature of a state...

Daily Times - Leading News Resource of Pakistan - ANALYSIS: Israel and Pakistan: parallel destinies at opposing ends —Sikander Amani